January 24, 2012

Why It Is So Important to Follow My Predictions

By Paul Bieber

It’s Tuesday, you are reading my blog, courtesy of USGlass. When this blog started it was intended as a vehicle giving practical advice to our big family in the glass industry. Today I offer you proof of how to take my advice.

Do the opposite.

Here’s the story. In September our heating oil technician visited and did the annual tune-up on our boiler. We have steam radiators powered by a large boiler in the basement. He told me that everything was alright, but the boiler was beginning to look a little tired. I asked him how he knew, and he couldn’t tell me. But he had been doing this for 20 years and it was just instinct.

I called the heating company main office and a young engineer came out, inspected the boiler, and prepared a quote to replace it … almost $6000. The engineer said we had a couple of years left, and not to rush into it. He left it up to me to make the decision.

OK, you have guessed what happened. I said ‘no’ to replacing it when it would be easy and no rush in September. Yesterday, the boiler cracked. It’s done for. Last night was 4 degrees and it got cold in the house. Today it is going up to 20. A heat wave. We have gas fireplaces and a few electric heaters, so we have made the house liveable, with three layers of sweatshirts on.

When an old-timer gives you a suggestion, it pays to listen. Now, some people think I am an old-timer (just ask my son) but I think I am young.

So, back to the headline, whenever I give a prediction, do the opposite. You are guaranteed to come out ahead.